5 Aug · 15:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1480
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Knazik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1540
FormLWWLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Knazik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (89)
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H41-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-33)