5 Aug · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1693
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Benak
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1609
FormWWLLW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rek🌟Rek covers set handicap as underdog 76% (33)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)