5 Aug · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1612
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Macurak
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1501
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
🌟Benes covers set handicap as underdog 63% (49)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H8-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)