5 Aug · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1479
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Strelec
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1400
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chvojka🌟Strelec goes over total as favourite 62% (24)
Fair odds · Strelec
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)