5 Aug · 13:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1466
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1480
FormLWLLL
49%
51%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (62)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H29-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.