5 Aug · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1466
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Knazik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1540
FormLWWLL
44%
56%
🌟Knazik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (89)
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H44-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-20)