5 Aug · 11:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1483
FormWLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1630
FormLWWLL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+147
H2H96-70
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (96-70)