5 Aug · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Oldrich Stehlik
ELO 1623
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Karel
FK
🇨🇿Filip Karel
ELO 1670
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Karel
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H10-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.