5 Aug · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1628
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skvrna
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1572
FormWLLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kleprlik🌟Kleprlik covers set handicap as underdog 75% (24)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H15-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)