5 Aug · 15:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1675
FormWLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Niezgoda
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1548
FormWWWLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+127
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)