5 Aug · 21:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1528
FormWLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Cibik
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1415
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
🌟Dusek goes over total as underdog 66% (74)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H37-42
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)