5 Aug · 17:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Oldrich Stehlik
ELO 1623
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lengal
DL
🇨🇿Dominik Lengal
ELO 1658
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Lengal
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H21-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.