5 Aug · 20:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1533
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zeman
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1528
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.