5 Aug · 21:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1452
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Branny
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1492
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Volny🌟Branny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (25)
Fair odds · Branny
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H11-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.