5 Aug · 21:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1674
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vorisek
PS
🇨🇿Petr Silhan
ELO 1639
FormLWLWW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Silhan🌟Silhan covers set handicap as underdog 69% (45)
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H67-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.