5 Aug · 17:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1572
FormWLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Moravec
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1693
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
🌟Kleprlik covers set handicap as underdog 75% (24)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+121
H2H31-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-27)