5 Aug · 20:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1452
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Henzel
MH
🇨🇿Michal Henzel
ELO 1480
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 67% (27)
Fair odds · Henzel
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.