5 Aug · 21:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1403
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jokiel
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1451
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vanous🌟Jokiel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (20)
Fair odds · Jokiel
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.