5 Aug · 18:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1496
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Melichar
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Melichar
ELO 1508
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Melichar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (13)
Fair odds · Melichar
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.