05 Aug · 13:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1559
3-0Final setsLovl won
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1589
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Chvatal at 54%. The actual result was Jan Lovl 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Pavel Chvatal favoured — closing 1.73
Total 74.5
57 points played
Set handicap
Pavel Chvatal −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Pavel Chvatal −3.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 2.98
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Lovl is favoured to win, below means Pavel Chvatal.
▲ Jan Lovlpre 42% → final 89%
Pavel Chvatal ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsLovl recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games