5 Aug · 20:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1640
FormWLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Guzy
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1503
FormWLLWW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+137
H2H57-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (57-39)