5 Aug · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DB
🇨🇿Damian Bucko
ELO 1620
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Duch
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1639
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Duch
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H64-56
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.