05 Aug · 21:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1633
3-0Final setsDuch won
BG
🇨🇿Blazej Gola
ELO 1509
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Duch at 58%. The actual result was Adam Duch 3-0 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Duch favoured — closing 1.4
Set handicap
Duch −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Duch −6.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Duch is favoured to win, below means Blazej Gola.
▲ Adam Duchpre 62% → final 98%
Blazej Gola ▼
Biggest swing 36 pts48 points · 3 games