6 Aug · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1610
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krenek
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1554
FormWLWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krupnik🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (51)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H35-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-34)