6 Aug · 13:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1532
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lovl
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1559
FormWLWLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Neterda🌟Neterda covers set handicap as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Lovl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H15-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.