6 Aug · 14:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1687
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kocab
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1630
FormWWLWL
55%
45%
🌟Prochazka covers set handicap as underdog 84% (31)
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)