6 Aug · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1687
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kocab
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1620
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 64% (76)
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H2-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)