6 Aug · 10:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1523
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1498
FormLWWWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strelec🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (53)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H14-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.