6 Aug · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1578
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fitl
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1532
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
🌟Neterda covers set handicap as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.