6 Aug · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1507
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1554
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (57)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H36-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.