6 Aug · 13:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1552
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fitl
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1578
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Fitl stays under total as favourite 63% (27)
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.