6 Aug · 13:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1615
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Skvrna
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1610
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krenek🌟Krenek covers set handicap as underdog 70% (57)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H36-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.