6 Aug · 09:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1475
FormLLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1602
FormLLLWW
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer
Fair odds · Rek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+127
H2H27-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)