6 Aug · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1615
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Skvrna
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1507
FormWWLWL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (101)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H54-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-32)