6 Aug · 12:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1591
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pribyl
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1554
FormWLWWL
53%
47%
🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 63% (49)
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.