6 Aug · 11:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1615
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skvrna
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1540
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (101)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H14-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-6)