6 Aug · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1451
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1523
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (53)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)