6 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1563
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1646
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~81 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H43-37
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-37)