6 Aug · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1454
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Masternak
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1490
FormWLWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Masternak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.98· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H49-64
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.