06 Aug · 09:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1534
3-1Final setsBenes won
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1586
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Pribyl at 56%. The actual result was Radek Benes 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jan Pribyl favoured — closing 1.73
Total 74.5
68 points played
Set handicap
Jan Pribyl −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jan Pribyl −6.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Radek Benes is favoured to win, below means Jan Pribyl.
▲ Radek Benespre 40% → final 76%
Jan Pribyl ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsBenes recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games