06 Aug · 13:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1548
3-1Final setsBenes won
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1616
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Skvrna at 57%. The actual result was Radek Benes 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jan Skvrna favoured — closing 1.64
Total 74.5
71 points played
Set handicap
Jan Skvrna −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jan Skvrna −0.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.24
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Radek Benes is favoured to win, below means Jan Skvrna.
▲ Radek Benespre 39% → final 75%
Jan Skvrna ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsBenes recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games