6 Aug · 17:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1511
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Branny
JC
🇨🇿Jindrich Coufal
ELO 1473
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
🌟Branny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (25)
Fair odds · Branny
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.