6 Aug · 18:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1459
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vinansky
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Vinansky
ELO 1535
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
🌟Kus stays under total as underdog 71% (35)
Fair odds · Vinansky
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)