6 Aug · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Vinansky
ELO 1535
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vinansky
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1496
FormWLWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Vinansky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.