6 Aug · 19:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1522
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Benak
VB
🇨🇿Vit Benak
ELO 1605
FormLWLLW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strejc🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 14% (14)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H21-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-15)