6 Aug · 21:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1439
FormLLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Jirka
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jirka
ELO 1564
FormWLLLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Jirka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+125
H2H11-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-2)