6 Aug · 22:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1457
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1484
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vich🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (60)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H14-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.