6 Aug · 20:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇨🇿Petr Kubat
ELO 1379
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rein
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1439
FormLLLLW
45%
55%
🌟Kubat covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Rein
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)