6 Aug · 22:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1514
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Marsalek
PM
🇨🇿Patrik Marsalek
ELO 1532
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Marsalek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.