6 Aug · 21:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1592
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Niezgoda
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1683
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
🌟Kowal covers set handicap as underdog 65% (46)
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H34-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-31)